As of: 12 August 2008
FORMAL PUBLICATIONS - Charles A. Doswell III
[* - not yet appeared]
A. Lead-authored publications
- Doswell, C.A. III, and S.A. Tegtmeier (1973): Rotating clouds
at Norman, Oklahoma. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 53,
1180.
- ______, and J.T. Schaefer (1976): On the relationship of
cirrus clouds to the jet stream. Mon. Wea. Rev.,
104, 105-106.
- ______ (1977): Obtaining meteorologically significant surface
divergence fields through the filtering property of objective
analysis. Mon. Wea. Rev., 105, 885-892.
- ______ (1980): Synoptic scale environments associated with
High Plains severe thunderstorms. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.,
61, 1388-1400.
- ______, L.R. Lemon and R.A. Maddox (1981): Forecaster training
- A review and analysis. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.,
61, 983-988.
- ______ (1984): A kinematic analysis of frontogenesis
associated with a nondivergent vortex. J. Atmos. Sci.,
41, 1241-1248.
- ______ (1986): The human element in weather forecasting.
Nat. Wea. Dig., 11, No. 2, 6-18.
- ______ (1987): The distinction between large-scale and
mesoscale contribution to severe convection: A case study example.
Wea. Forecasting, 2, 3-16.
- ______, and D.W. Burgess (1988): On some issues of United
States tornado climatology. Mon. Wea. Rev., 116,
495-501.
- ______, and F. Caracena (1988): Derivative estimation from
marginally-sampled vector point functions. J. Atmos. Sci.,
45, 242-253.
- ______, and J.A. Flueck (1989): Forecasting and verifying in a
field research project: DOPLIGHT '87. Wea. Forecasting,
4, 97-109.
- ______, R. Davies-Jones and D.L. Keller (1990): On summary
measures of skill in rare event forecasting based on contingency
tables. Wea. Forecasting, 5, 576-585.
- ______ (1991): A review for forecasters on the application of
hodographs to forecasting severe thunderstorms. Nat. Wea.
Dig., 15, No. 1, 2-16.
- ______ (1991): A point of clarification about area and energy
on common thermodynamic diagrams. Wea. Forecasting,
6, 299-301.
- ______ (1992): Forecaster workstation design: Issues and
concepts. Wea. Forecasting, 7, 398-407.
- ______, and E.N. Rasmussen (1994): The effect of neglecting
the virtual temperature correction on CAPE calculations. Wea.
Forecasting, 9, 625-629.
- ______, H.E. Brooks and R.A. Maddox (1996): Flash flood
forecasting: An ingredients-based methodology. Wea.
Forecasting, 11, 560-581. [winner: NSSL
Outstanding Scientific Paper Award, January 1999]
- ______, and S.G. Lasher-Trapp (1997): On measuring the degree
of irregularity in an observing network. J. Atmos. Oceanic
Technol., 13, 120-132.
- ______, and H.E. Brooks (1998): Budget-cutting and the value
of weather services. Wea. Forecasting, 13, 206-212.
- ______, C. Ramis, R. Romero and S. Alonso (1998): A diagnostic
study of three heavy precipitation episodes in the western
Mediterranean. Wea. Forecasting, 13, 102-124.
- ______, and H.E. Brooks (1999): Case analysis of a historic
killer tornado event in Kansas on 10 June 1938, Ann. Improbable
Res., 5, No.3., 14-15.
- ______, A.R. Moller and H.E. Brooks (1999): Storm spotting and
public awareness since the first tornado forecasts of 1948.
Wea. Forecasting, 14, 544-557.
- _______, and H.E. Brooks (2002). Lessons learned from the
damage produced by the tornadoes of 3 May 1999. Wea.
Forecasting, 17, 611-618.
- ______, D.V. Baker and C.A. Liles (2002): Recognition of
negative mesoscale factors for severe weather potential: A case
study. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 937-954.
- ______, and J.S. Evans (2003): Proximity sounding analysis for
derechos and supercells &endash; An assessment of similarities and
differences. Atmos. Res., 58, 117-133.
- ______ (2003): Societal impacts of severe thunderstorms and
tornadoes: Lessons learned and implications for Europe. Atmos
Res., 58, 135-152.
- ______, and P.M. Markowski (2004): Is buoyancy a relative
quantity? Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 853-863.
- ______ (2004): Weather forecasting by humans - Heuristics and
decision-making. Wea. Forecasting, 19, 1115-1126.
- ______, H.E. Brooks, and M. Kay (2005): Climatological
distributions of daily local nontornadic severe thunderstorm
events in the United States. Wea Forecasting, 20,
577-595.
- ______ (2005): Progress toward developing a practical
societal response to severe convection. Nat. Hazards and Earth
System Sci., 5, 691-702.
- ______, R. Edwards, R.L. Thompson, J.A. Hart, and K.C. Crosbie (2006): A simple and flexible method for ranking severe weather events. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 931-951.
- ______, and D. M. Schultz (2006): On the use of indices and parameters in severe forecasting severe storms. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 1 (3), 1-22.
- ______ (2007): Historical overview of severe convective storms research. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 2 (1), 1-25.
- ______, and M.J. Haugland (2007): A comparison of two cold fronts - Effects of the planetary boundary layer on the mesoscale. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 2 (4), 1-12.
- ______ (2007): Small sample size and data quality issues illustrated using tornado occurrence data.Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 2 (5), 1-16.
B. Other peer-reviewed publications
- Moller, A., C. Doswell, J. McGinley, S. Tegtmeier and R.
Zipser (1974): Field observations of the Union City tornado in
Oklahoma. Weatherwise, 27, 68-79.
- Schaefer, J.T., and C.A. Doswell III (1978): The inherent
position errors in double-theodolite pibal measurements. J.
Appl. Meteor., 17, 911-915.
- Kelly, D.R., J.T. Schaefer, R.P. McNulty, C.A. Doswell III and
R.F. Abbey, Jr. (1978): An augmented tornado climatology. Mon.
Wea. Rev., 106, 1172-1183.
- Schaefer, J.T., and C.A. Doswell III (1979): On the
interpolation of a vector field. Mon. Wea. Rev.,
107, 458-476.
- Lemon, L.R., and C.A. Doswell III (1979): Severe thunderstorm
evolution and mesocyclone structure as related to tornadogenesis.
Mon. Wea. Rev., 107, 1184-1197.
- Schaefer, J.T., D.L. Kelly, C.A. Doswell III, J.G. Galway,
R.J. Williams, R.P. McNulty, L.R. Lemon, and B.D. Lambert (1980):
Tornadoes: When -- where -- how often. Weatherwise,
33, 52-59.
- ______, and C.A. Doswell III (1980): The theory and
application of antitriptic balance. Mon. Wea. Rev.,
108, 746-756.
- Maddox, R.A., and C.A. Doswell III (1982): An examination of
jetstream configurations, 500 mb vorticity advection and low level
thermal advection patterns during extended periods of intense
convection. Mon. Wea. Rev., 109, 184-197.
- ______, and ______ (1982): Forecasting severe thunderstorms: A
brief consideration of some accepted techniques. Nat. Wea.
Dig., 7, No. 2, 26-30.
- Schaefer, J.T., and C.A. Doswell III (1984): Empirical
orthogonal function expansion applied to progressive tornado
outbreaks. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 62, 929-936.
- Kelly, D.L., J.T. Schaefer and C.A. Doswell III (1985):
Climatology of nontornadic severe thunderstorm events in the
United States. Mon. Wea. Rev., 113, 1997-2014.
- Zamora, R.J., M.A. Shapiro and C.A. Doswell III (1987):
Diagnosis of upper tropospheric divergence and ageostrophic wind
using profiler wind observations. Mon. Wea. Rev.,
115, 871-884.
- Setvák, M., and C.A. Doswell III (1991): The AVHRR
channel 3 cloud top reflectivity of convective storms. Mon.
Wea. Rev., 119, 841-847.
- Schwartz, B.E., and C.A. Doswell III (1991): North American
rawinsonde observations: Problems, concerns, and a call to action.
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 72, 1885-1896.
- Branick, M.L., and C.A. Doswell III (1992): An observation of
the relationship between supercell structure and lightning ground
strike polarity. Wea. Forecasting, 7, 143-149.
- Brooks, H.E., C.A. Doswell III and R.A. Maddox (1992): On the
use of mesoscale and cloud-scale models in operational
forecasting. Wea. Forecasting, 7, 120-132.
- Jincai, D., C.A. Doswell III, D.W. Burgess, M.P. Foster and
M.L. Branick (1992): Verification of mesoscale forecasts during
MAP '88 and MAP '89. Wea. Forecasting, 7, 468-479.
- Johns, R.H., and C.A. Doswell III (1992): Severe local storms
forecasting. Wea. Forecasting, 7, 588-612.
- Imy, D.A., K.J. Pence and C.A. Doswell III (1992): On the need
for volumetric radar data when issuing severe thunderstorm and
tornado warnings. Nat. Wea. Dig., 17, No. 4, 2-17.
- Brooks, H.E., C.A. Doswell III and L.J. Wicker (1993):
STORMTIPE: A forecasting experiment using a three-dimensional
cloud model. Wea. Forecasting, 8, 352-362.
- ______, and ______ (1993): New technology and numerical
weather prediction: A wasted opportunity? Weather,
48, 173-177..
- ______, ______, and R.B. Wilhelmson (1994): On the role of the
mid-tropospheric winds in the evolution and maintenance of
low-level mesocyclones. Mon Wea. Rev., 122, 126-136.
[winner: 1996 ERL Outstanding Scientific Paper Award]
- Davies, J.M., C.A. Doswell III, D.W. Burgess and J.F. Weaver
(1994): Some noteworthy aspects of the Hesston, Kansas tornado
family of 13 March 1990. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.,
75, 1007-1017.
- Moller, A.R., M.P. Foster, C.A. Doswell III and G.R. Woodall
(1994): The operational recognition of supercell thunderstorm
environments and storm structures. Wea. Forecasting,
8, 327-347.
- Rasmussen, E.N., J.M. Straka, R. Davies-Jones, C.A. Doswell
III, F.H. Carr, M.D. Eilts and D.R. MacGorman (1994): Verification
of the Origins of Rotation in Tornadoes EXperiment (VORTEX).
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 75, (995-1006).
- Brooks, H.E., C.A. Doswell III and J. Cooper (1994): On the
environments of tornadic and non-tornadic mesocyclones. Wea.
Forecasting, 9, 606-618.
- Sanders, F.P., and C.A. Doswell III (1995): A case for
detailed surface analysis. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.,
76, 505-521.
- Carr, F.H., P.L. Spencer, C.A. Doswell III and J.D. Powell
(1995): A comparison of two objective analysis techniques for
profiler time-height data. Mon. Wea. Rev., 123,
2165-2180.
- Spencer, P.L., F.H. Carr, and C.A. Doswell III (1996):
Diagnosis of an amplifying and decaying baroclinic wave using wind
profiler data. Mon. Wea. Rev., 124, 209-223.
- Brooks, H.E., and C.A. Doswell III (1996): A comparison
between measures-oriented and distributions-oriented approaches to
forecast verification. Wea. Forecasting, 11,
288-303.
- Romero, R., C. Ramis, S. Alonso, C.A. Doswell III and D.J.
Stensrud (1998): Mesoscale model simulations of three heavy
precipitation events in the western Mediterranean region. Mon.
Wea. Rev., 126, 1859-1881.
- Spencer, P.L., P.R. Janish and C.A. Doswell III (1999): A
4-dimensional objective analysis scheme and multi-triangle
technique for wind profiler data. Mon. Wea. Rev.,
127, 279-291.
- Hall, T., H.E. Brooks, and C.A. Doswell III (1999):
Precipitation forecasting using a neural network. Wea.
Forecasting, 14, 338-345.
- Schultz, D.M., and C.A. Doswell III (1999): Conceptual models
of upper-level frontogenesis in southwesterly and northwesterly
flow. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. 125, 2535-2562.
- Trapp, R.J., and C.A. Doswell III (2000): Radar data objective
analysis. J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., 17, 105-120.
- Schultz, D.M., and C.A. Doswell III (2000): Analyzing Rocky
Mountain lee cyclogenesis often associated with damaging winds.
Wea. Forecasting, 15, 152-173.
- Romero, R., C.A. Doswell III, and C. Ramis (2000): Mesoscale
numerical study of two cases of long-lived quasistationary
convective systems over eastern Spain. Mon. Wea. Rev.,
128, 3731-3751.
- Schultz, D.M., P.N. Schumacher and C.A. Doswell III (2000):
The intricacies of instabilities. Mon. Wea. Rev.,
128, 4143-4148.
- Brooks, H.E., and C.A. Doswell III (2001): Some aspects of the
international climatology of tornadoes by damage. Atmos.
Res., 56, 191-201.
- ______, and ______ (2001): Normalized damage from major
tornadoes in the United States: 1890-1999. Wea.
Forecasting, 16, 168-176.
- Evans, J., and C.A. Doswell III (2001): Examination of derecho
environments using proximity soundings. Wea. Forecasting,
16, 329-342.
- Romero, R., C.A. Doswell III and R. Riosalido (2001):
Observations and fine-grid simulations of a convection outbreak in
northeastern Spain: Importance of diurnal forcing and convective
cold pools. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 2157-2182.
- Spencer, P.L., and C.A. Doswell III (2001): A quantitative
comparison between traditional and line integral methods of
derivative estimation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129,
2538-2554.
- Smith, J.A., M.L. Baeck, Y. Zhang and C.A. Doswell III (2001):
Extreme rainfall and flooding from supercell thunderstorms. J.
Hydrometeor., 2, 469-489.
- Brooks, H.E., and C.A. Doswell III (2002): Deaths in the 3 May
1999 Oklahoma City tornadoes from a historical perspective Wea.
Forecasting, 17, 354-361.
- Speheger, D.A., C.A. Doswell III and G.J. Stumpf (2002): The
tornadoes of 3 May 1999: Event verification in Central Oklahoma
and related issues. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 362-381.
- Hanstrum, B.N., G.A. Mills, A. Watson, J.P. Monteverdi and
C.A. Doswell III (2002): The cool-season tornadoes of California
and southern Australia. Wea. Forecasting, 17,
705-722.
- Monteverdi, J.P., C.A. Doswell III and G.S. Lipari (2003):
Shear parameter thresholds for forecasting California tornadic
thunderstorms. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 357-370.
- Brooks, H.E., C.A. Doswell III and M. Kay (2003):
Climatological estimates of local daily tornado probability for
the United States. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 626-640.
- Setvák, M., R.M. Rabin, C.A. Doswell III, and V.
Levizzani (2003): Satellite observations of convective storm top
features in the 1.6 and 3.7/3.9 mm spectral bands. Atmos. Res, ,
58, 607-627.
- Ramsay, H., and C.A. Doswell III (2005): A sensitivity study
of hodograph-based methods for estimating supercell motion.
Wea. Forecasting, 20, 954-970.
- Romero, R., M. Gaya, and C.A. Doswell III (2007): European
climatology of severe convective storm environmental parameters: A
test for significant tornado events. Atmos. Res., 83, 389-404.
- Spencer, P,L, M.A. Askelson, and C.A. Doswell III (2007): Choosing the smoothing parameters within a multiple-pass Barnes objective analysis scheme: A cautionary note. J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol, 24, 713-726.
- Loftus, A.M., D.B. Weber, and C.A. Doswell III (2008): Parameterized mesoscale forcing mechanisms for initiating numerically-simulated isolated multicellular convection. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 2408-2421.
- *Shafer, C.M., A.E. Mercer, C.A. Doswell III, M.B. Richman, and L.M. Leslie (2009): Evaluation of WRF forecasts of tornadic and nontornadic outbreaks when initialized with synoptic-scale input. Mon. Wea. Rev., [in press].
C. Textbooks, Chapters in Books, Monographs, or
Encyclopedias
- Doswell, C.A. III (1986): Short range forecasting.
Mesoscale Meteorology and Forecasting, Chapter 29 (P. Ray,
Ed.), Amer. Meteor. Soc., 689-719.
- ______, and M.L. Branick (1992): Weather Merit badge
pamphlet, Boy Scouts of America (Irving, Texas), 80 pp.
- ______, and D.W. Burgess (1993): Tornadoes and tornadic
storms: A review of conceptual models. The Tornado: Its
Structure, Dynamics, Hazards, and Prediction (Geophys. Monogr.
79) (C. Church, D. Burgess, C. Doswell, and R. Davies-Jones,
Eds.), Amer. Geophys. Union, 161-172.
- ______, R.H. Johns and S.J. Weiss (1993): Tornado forecasting:
A review (Invited paper). The Tornado: Its Structure, Dynamics,
Hazards, and Prediction (Geophys. Monogr. 79) (C. Church, D.
Burgess, C. Doswell, and R. Davies-Jones, Eds.), Amer. Geophys.
Union, 557-571.
- Brooks, H.E., C.A. Doswell III and R.P. Davies-Jones (1993):
Environmental helicity and the maintenance and evolution of
low-level mesocyclones. The Tornado: Its Structure, Dynamics,
Hazards, and Prediction (Geophys. Monogr. 79) (C. Church, D.
Burgess, C. Doswell, and R. Davies-Jones, Eds.), Amer. Geophys.
Union, 97-104.
- Doswell, C.A. III (1996): Thunderstorms. Encyclopedia of
Climate and Weather (S. Schneider, Ed.), Oxford University
Press (New York), 757-761.
- ______ (1996): Storms. Encyclopedia of Climate and
Weather (S. Schneider, Ed.), Oxford University Press (New
York), 720-723.
- ______ (2001): Severe convective storms -- An overview.
Severe Convective Storms, Meteor. Monogr.,
28, no. 50, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 1-26.
- ______, and L.F. Bosart (2001): Extratropical synoptic-scale
processes and severe convection. Severe Convective Storms,
Meteor. Monogr ., 28, no. 50, Amer. Meteor. Soc.,
27-69.
- ______ (2002): Flooding. Encyclopedia of Atmospheric
Sciences (J. Holton, J. Curry, and J. Pyle, Eds.), Academic
Press (New York), 769-776.
- ______ (2002): Severe storms. Encyclopedia of Atmospheric
Sciences (J. Holton, J. Curry, and J. Pyle, Eds.), Academic
Press (New York), 2054-2061.
- Brooks, H., C. Doswell III, D. Dowell, R. Holle, B. Johns, D.
Jorgensen, D. Schultz, D. Stensrud, S. Weiss, L. Wicker, and D.
Zaras, 2003: Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes. Chapter 29,
Handbook of Weather, Climate, and Water: Dynamics, Climate,
Physical Meteorology, Weather Systems, and Measurements (B. R.
Colman and T. D. Potter, Eds.), John Wiley and Sons, 575-619.
- Doswell, C.A. III (2005): Storm systems. Chapter 27, Encyclopedia of
Hydrological Sciences (M.G. Anderson, Ed.), John Wiley and
Sons, DOI: 10.1002/0470848944.hsa029, 413-422.
- Doswell, C.A. III (2007): The science of storms. Adventures in Tornado Alley: The Storm Chasers (M. Hollingshead and E. Nguyen), Thames and Hudson, Ltd., 177-187.
- Doswell, C.A. III (2009): Severe storms. Encyclopedia of Remote Sensing (Eni Njoku, Ed.), Springer, [in press].
D. Comments or replies to comments
- Doswell, C.A. III and J.T. Schaefer (1976): Reply to
comments on "On the relationship of cirrus clouds to the jet
stream." Mon. Wea. Rev., 104, 1185.
- Weiss, S.J., C.A. Doswell III, and F.P. Ostby (1980): Comments
on "Automated 12-36 hour probability forecasts of thunderstorms
and severe local storms." J. Appl. Meteor., 19,
1328-1333.
- Doswell, C.A. III and R.A. Maddox (1982): Reply to
comments on "Forecaster training - A review and analysis."
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 63, 785-786.
- ______ and ______ (1983): Reply to comments on "Forecaster
training - A review and analysis." Bull. Amer. Meteor.
Soc., 64, 518.
- ______ (1983): Comments on "Photographic documentation of some
distinctive cloud forms observed beneath a large cumulonimbus."
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 64, 1389-1390.
- ______ (1985): Reply to comments on "A kinematic
analysis of frontogenesis associated with a nondivergent vortex."
J. Atmos. Sci., 42, 2076-2079.
- ______ (1988): Comments on "An improved technique for
computing the horizontal pressure-gradient force at the earth's
surface." Mon. Wea. Rev., 116, 1251-1254.
- ______ (1989): Comments on "Vertical motion evaluation of a
Colorado snowstorm from a synoptician's perspective." Wea.
Forecasting, 4, 568-570.
- _____ (1990): Comments on "A winter mesocyclone over the
midwestern United States." Wea. Forecasting, 5,
162-165.
- ______ (1990): Comments on "On the need for augmentation in
automated surface observations." Nat. Wea. Dig., 15,
No. 3. 29-30.
- ______, and S.L. Barnes (1991): Comments on "The theoretical,
discrete, and actual response of the Barnes objective analysis
scheme for one- and two-dimensional fields." Mon. Wea.
Rev., 119, 1490-1492.
- ______ (1991): Comments on "Mesoscale convective patterns of
the southern High Plains." Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.,
72, 389-390.
- ______, R. Davies-Jones and D.L. Keller (1991): Reply
to comments on "On summary measures of skill in rare event
forecasting based on contingency tables." Wea. Forecasting,
6, 403.
- Schwartz, B.E., and C.A. Doswell III (1992): Reply to
comments on "North American rawinsonde observations: Problems,
concerns, and a call to action." Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.,
73, 1457.
- Doswell, C.A. III, and H.E. Brooks (1993): Supercell
thunderstorms [Comments on "How severe can a 'severe thunderstorm'
be?: An investigation into two violent electrical storms in
Australia"]. Weather, 48, 209-210.
- ______, and ______ (1993): Comments on "Anomalous
cloud-to-ground lightning in an F5-tornado-producing supercell
thunderstorm on 28 August 1990." Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.,
74, 2213-2218.
- Davies-Jones, R., C.A. Doswell III, and H.E. Brooks (1994):
Comments on "Initiation and evolution of updraft rotation within
an incipient supercell thunderstorm." J. Atmos. Sci.,
51, 326-331.
- Doswell, C.A. III (1995): Comments on "Single-Doppler radar
observations of a mini-supercell tornadic thunderstorm." Mon.
Wea. Rev., 123, 230-234.
- Schultz, D.M., C.A. Doswell III and J.V. Cortinas, Jr. (2002):
Comments on "An operational ingredients-based methodology for
forecasting midlatitude winter season precipitation." Mon. Wea.
Rev., 130, 160-167.
- Doswell, C.A. III (2003): Comments on "Extraction of
geopotential height and temperature structure from profiler and
rawinsonde winds." Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 1502-1503.
- _____ (2006): Comments on "Contraction rate and its relationship to frontogenesis, the Lyapaunov exponent, fluid trapping, and airstream boundaries." Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 2642-2643.
- ______ (2007): Comments on "A preliminary study of severe wind-producing MCSs in environments of limited moisture." Wea. Forecasting, 22, 1360-1361.
- ______ (2008): Comments on "The mysteries of mammatus clouds: Observations and formative mechanisms." J. Atmos. Sci., 65, 1093-1094.
- Brooks, H.E., C.A. Doswell III, and D. Sutter (2008): Comments on "Low-level winds in tornadoes and potential catastrophic tornado impacts in urban areas." Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 89, 87-90.